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Iran’s fault-lines

24 0
25.02.2026

Iran’s campuses have once again become political frontiers, and that alone says something essential about the country’s present moment. When students at places like Sharif University of Technology or Shahid Beheshti University leave classrooms for chants and sit-ins, it is not because they have suddenly discovered politics. It is because the ordinary channels for airing grievances ~ elections that feel consequential, courts that persuade and media that can question power ~ have narrowed to the point of irrelevance. Universities, dense with youth and ambition, become the pressure valve. The Islamic Republic has seen this pattern before.

What makes the current moment heavier is the memory of recent bloodshed and the context in which these protests are unfolding. The country is still absorbing the shock of a crackdown that followed demonstrations driven as much by economic exhaustion as by political anger. Inflation, job insecurity, and sanctions fatigue are not abstractions in Iran; they are daily calculations in kitchens and dorm rooms. At the apex of the system sits Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, presiding over a state that has grown more securitised even as it has grown less persuasive. The official line insists that stability is being defended against chaos. But stability built primarily on batons, prisons, and funerals is a brittle thing. The chants heard on campuses ~ calling for freedom or denouncing dictatorship – are not policy platforms. They are symptoms of a legitimacy deficit that cannot be repaired by arrests alone.

This domestic strain is unfolding alongside a dangerous external chessboard. In Washington, President Donald Trump has revived the language of deadlines and “limited strikes,” while diplomats move through European capitals trying to contain the nuclear file. The temptation for hardliners on all sides is to treat internal Iranian unrest as just another lever in a larger confrontation. That would be a mistake. History suggests that foreign threats usually strengthen the most coercive elements of the Iranian state, allowing repression to be wrapped in the language of national survival. The opposition, meanwhile, is split. Some exiled groups openly hope that outside pressure ~ or even military action ~ will break the system. Others warn that change delivered by bombs would leave a shattered society, not a freer one.

Inside Iran, students appear less interested in grand geopolitical designs than in basics: dignity, opportunity, and a future that does not require silence as its entry fee. Human rights groups now speak of death tolls in the thousands, figures that have already created a moral ledger that will not be easily closed. Even the state’s own lower numbers concede a level of violence that should alarm anyone who cares about cohesion. The real question is not whether protests will return; they will. It is whether Iran’s leadership can imagine authority resting more on consent than fear. If it cannot, campuses will remain not just places of learning, but recurring rehearsal stages for a crisis that keeps coming back to the centre of Iranian life.

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