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Ivan Kopytsev

Ivan Kopytsev

New Eastern Outlook

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Ankara agreement: preliminary results

12.01.2025 10

New Eastern Outlook

Ivan Kopytsev

The conflict in Jubaland in the context of regional tensions

29.12.2024 4

New Eastern Outlook

Ivan Kopytsev

The conflict in Jubaland in the context of regional tensions

In light of the ongoing confrontation between Ethiopia, Egypt and Somalia, the internal political conflict in the south of the latter creates even...

17.12.2024 4

New Eastern Outlook

Ivan Kopytsev

Elections in Somaliland: outcome and possible implications. Part 2

The victory in Somaliland’s presidential election of the leader of the country’s largest opposition party creates a vast space to explore...

30.11.2024 20

New Eastern Outlook

Ivan Kopytsev

Elections in Somaliland: General Overview and Political Significance. Part 1

To date, Somaliland has established itself as the most viable and dynamic electoral democracy in the region, which, combined with ongoing...

26.11.2024 3

New Eastern Outlook

Ivan Kopytsev

Conflict in Sudan: current assessment

The conflict in Sudan, which has been going on for more than a year and a half, is today unfolding in a curious way; unfolding, on the one hand, in...

14.11.2024 1

New Eastern Outlook

Ivan Kopytsev

Egypt, Eritrea, Somalia: a look at the motivations of the participants in the three-party alliance

With news of the formation of a new three-party alliance between Egypt, Somalia and Eritrea, there has been an increasing consolidation of “anti-...

28.10.2024 1

New Eastern Outlook

Ivan Kopytsev

The Horn of Africa: Growing Escalation. Part 2

The ongoing “bargaining of actions” between Ethiopia and its opponents could have diametrically opposite consequences: from direct escalation...

17.10.2024 3

New Eastern Outlook

Ivan Kopytsev

Internal split in the TPLF: current situation, Part 2

The previously strong and united TPLF is now experiencing the most acute internal crisis in its history, and risks becoming easy prey for its...

04.10.2024 3

New Eastern Outlook

Ivan Kopytsev

Internal split in the TPLF: history of the party, part 1

The major split in the Tigray People’s Liberation Front has the potential to significantly shift the balance of power not only in the Tigray...

29.09.2024 5

New Eastern Outlook

Ivan Kopytsev

Cairo is “joining the team”: another step towards escalation?

In recent weeks, the Horn of Africa has continued to treat the expert community to a series of political developments that require careful...

05.09.2024 1

New Eastern Outlook

Ivan Kopytsev

Libya: two armies and two partners. Explaining the dynamics of military co-operation between Tripoli and Tobruk with the US and Russia

I n the context of a long lull in Libya, when the parties have given up direct fighting and toughened political rhetoric, the first steps towards...

28.08.2024 3

New Eastern Outlook

Ivan Kopytsev

Increasing Egyptian influence in the Horn of Africa: appealing to anti-Ethiopian sentiments

In the post-colonial history of Africa, Egypt has steadily remained one of the most active players, whose well-established ambitions and resources...

22.08.2024 2

New Eastern Outlook

Ivan Kopytsev

A turning point or a new round of escalation: an analysis of the political and military consequences of the fighting in northern Mali

At the end of July 2024, the Malian armed forces, supported by the PMC Wagner, launched another offensive in the north of the country against the...

05.08.2024 3

New Eastern Outlook

Ivan Kopytsev

Military cooperation or solid guarantees: Somaliland soldiers in Ethiopia

Against the background of the intensification of Ethiopian foreign policy, which has highlighted the issue of obtaining direct access to the sea,...

30.07.2024 2

New Eastern Outlook

Ivan Kopytsev