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Everything Is Bigger in Texas — Including the Senate Stakes

6 0
03.09.2026

The race for control of the Senate next January is a dead heat. Conventional wisdom suggests the contests in swing states like Michigan, Ohio, North Carolina and Georgia could prove decisive. And they might.

But it's possible that the fate of the chamber known as the "world's greatest deliberative body" will come down to a state not usually considered all that swingy: Texas. Everything is always bigger in Texas, and that now includes the stakes for control of the Senate.

For over a decade, Democrats have touted the purported inevitability of Texas turning blue. "Demographics is destiny," Democrats bellowed, taunting Republicans by pointing to the state's burgeoning Hispanic population.

That argument seemed to die in 2020, when President Donald Trump made historic gains in Texas' heavily Hispanic Rio Grande Valley region. And if the triumphalist chest-thumping might have died in 2020, then it really died in 2024, when Trump won about one-fifth of Black men and nearly half of all Hispanics nationally.

The polling average in the Lone Star State's Senate showdown shows a marginal lead for Democrat challenger James Talarico, the far-left state representative. Talarico is running against Ken Paxton, the controversial........

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