The Future That Almost Never Was
SpaceX filed its confidential S-1 with the SEC on April 1, 2026, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a $75 billion raise in what analysts project will be the largest IPO in market history. A June Nasdaq listing could position Elon Musk to helm two separate trillion-dollar public companies simultaneously. None of this momentum was preordained, and the policy decisions that made it possible deserve highlighting because the decisions that nearly prevented it are equally clear.
I have backed early-stage technology companies for two decades and managed capital in private equity and hedge funds for thirty years. The pattern I have seen since January 20, 2025, is not a typical market cycle. It is the direct and predictable result of stripping away two years of deliberately imposed regulatory friction from a sector that generates disproportionate national wealth and strategic capability.
The Biden-Era Pattern
The Biden-Harris record on innovation was not incidental. Tesla, which led global electric vehicle sales for years, was excluded from White House EV summits reserved for unionized legacy manufacturers. The NHTSA opened repeated Autopilot inquiries that forced recalls on two million vehicles. In August 2023, the Justice Department sued SpaceX for allegedly discriminating against refugees in hiring, targeting export-control practices the company argued were legally required for classified national-security work. A federal judge blocked the case in November 2023. The Trump administration moved to dismiss and the case was dropped with prejudice on February 24, 2025, one of the first Biden-era enforcement actions........
