In two federal polls that were partly taken after Pauline Hanson’s June 17 National Press Club address, One Nation’s surge continued, gaining two points on primary votes in both the DemosAU and Morgan polls, to reach 30% and 31.5% respectively.

Owing to a five-point slump for the Coalition, the DemosAU poll was better for Labor with the combined One Nation/Coalition vote down three points to 48%. But in Morgan the right vote was up 2.5 points to 49%, and Labor only led One Nation by 51–49 after preferences.

In the United Kingdom, Labour’s Andy Burnham is set to become prime minister after his thumping byelection victory last Thursday.

The NSW election is in March 2027. A DemosAU poll has One Nation overtaking the Coalition to be second on primary votes behind Labor.

A national DemosAU poll for Capital Brief, conducted June 16–18 from a sample of 1,497, gave One Nation 30% of the primary vote (up two since the May post-budget DemosAU poll), Labor 27% (up one), the Coalition 18% (down five), the Greens 13% (steady) and all Others 12% (up two).

No two-party estimate was provided, but seat ranges gave Labor 71–81 of the 150 House of Representatives seats (previously 65–74), One Nation 54–63 (previously 47–58), the Coalition 4–11 (18–28), the Greens 0–4 (1–5) and others 4–8 (2–6).

Owing to the three-point drop in the combined One Nation/Coalition vote to 48%, Labor’s position has improved to where........

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