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Mark Carney’s support surge coming largely from former Conservatives, poll finds

Tristin Hopper: Roughly one million who voted Tory in 2025 would now vote for Carney – more than enough to flip dozens of Conservative ridings across Ontario and Atlantic Canada

Prime Minister Mark Carney’s sustained surge in the polls is coming predominantly from former Conservatives, according to new figures published by the Angus Reid Institute.

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According to a new poll published on Thursday, 13 per cent of respondents who voted Conservative in 2025 would now vote for a Carney-led Liberal party if given the chance.

That may not sound like a lot, but given that a record 8.1 million Canadians voted Conservative in the last federal election, that works out to an exodus equivalent to one million votes – more than enough to flip dozens of Conservative ridings across Ontario and Atlantic Canada.

And in a feat with few precedents in Canadian political history, the Liberals are luring over Tories while simultaneously siphoning off support from both the NDP and the Bloc Québécois – accelerating a trend that already saw both parties lose catastrophically to the Liberals in 2025.

The New Democrats scored their worst-ever result in 2025, winning just seven seats and 6.29 per cent of the vote. And of those voters, nearly a........

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