Why You No Longer Need to Fear Global Warming

After decades of predictions, we have something more valuable than alarming computer projections: actual observations.

Anthony Watts | October 28, 2026

For decades, Americans have been bombarded with frightening predictions about global warming, now more commonly called “climate change.” We have been warned of disappearing islands, starving polar bears, unprecedented hurricanes, collapsing food supplies, and a planet supposedly approaching catastrophe.

Scientists have issued warnings, politicians have repeated them, and the news media have amplified them. Rarely does a major weather event occur today without someone suggesting that climate change has made it worse.

But after decades of predictions, we have something more valuable than alarming computer projections: actual observations. Newsflash: those observations provide considerable reason for optimism about our future.

Consider the evidence assembled in Climate at a Glance, a collection of more than 50 climate topics drawing on data from organizations including NOAA, NASA, the EPA, and the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

The picture painted from actual data is considerably more encouraging than the nightly news would have you believe.

Extreme weather: The missing catastrophe.

The extraordinary decline in weather-related deaths is a lesson that flies in the face of worst-case predictions.

We are repeatedly told that hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, and droughts are becoming unprecedented disasters.

Yet global hurricane records do not show a clear long-term increase in the total number of tropical cyclones. NOAA records also show that the most violent U.S. tornadoes have not exhibited the relentless upward trend suggested by sensational headlines.

The IPCC acknowledges substantial uncertainty about long-term trends in several categories of extreme weather, including tornadoes and flooding.

There are important exceptions. Heavy precipitation has increased in many regions, and heat extremes have become more frequent globally. But the evidence does not justify treating every destructive storm as proof of an accelerating........

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