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Chris Giles

Chris Giles

Financial Times

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The Budget should not be a big deal for interest rates

Bank of England has already had plenty of time to react to the chancellor’s thinking

31.10.2024 5

Financial Times

Chris Giles

How squeezing the rich through tax may backfire

If Britain is to have a more European welfare state, it needs a more European tax system

24.10.2024 5

Financial Times

Chris Giles

A ‘full fat’ Budget is impossible — what are the trade-offs?

Traditional Labour measures on tax and borrowing will need to be balanced with thinner fare to keep to fiscal constraints

18.10.2024 10

Financial Times

Chris Giles

Lessons in law and economics from the Next pay gap case

Companies need to be careful, but the judgment ultimately preserves market forces

09.10.2024 7

Financial Times

Chris Giles

Reeves should tackle excessively generous pensions taxation

The chancellor must be careful not to increase the damaging incentives in the tax system as she seeks sources of revenue

12.09.2024 5

Financial Times

Chris Giles

Forget the Budget — there’s a more important economic date coming up

An MPC meeting next month looks set to shape interest rates, normalise risk taking and kill a silly fiscal rule

29.08.2024 20

Financial Times

Chris Giles

The world can’t escape from a US economy that has lost its anchor

Financial markets are right to be jumpy ahead of November’s election

19.08.2024 10

Financial Times

Chris Giles

For Kamala Harris, it mustn’t be ‘the economy, stupid’

The Democratic candidate is well advised not to campaign on the Biden administration’s economic record

06.08.2024 5

Financial Times

Chris Giles

Reeves has more legacy junk to ditch as the Treasury sorts out its finances

The difficult reality is a recognition that we will have to spend more and get less than promised from public services

01.08.2024 10

Financial Times

Chris Giles

Universal basic income: the bad idea that never quite dies

The tax rises needed to fund such schemes put them out of reach — maybe a new study will convince the doubters

26.07.2024 4

Financial Times

Chris Giles

Labour’s moment to blame, borrow and tax

The coming fiscal statement will set an economic baseline for the new government

17.07.2024 10

Financial Times

Chris Giles

Labour can increase spending without raising tax

It involves austerity, some quirks in UK fiscal rules and ensuring government action requires private investment

19.06.2024 7

Financial Times

Chris Giles

An unnecessary banking subsidy whose time is up

Labour can save public money and enhance central bank independence with some tweaks to the BoE remit

06.06.2024 8

Financial Times

Chris Giles

The US and Europe should decouple on monetary policy

Divergent economic positions mean assessment of policy risks needs to be radically different

22.05.2024 40

Financial Times

Chris Giles

The solution is simple: just build more homes

Walking London’s Capital Ring tells you all you need to know about the housing crisis

09.05.2024 30

Financial Times

Chris Giles

An optimist’s guide to the next Labour government

Political stability, catch-up growth and better luck would make 2024 a good election to win

25.04.2024 60

Financial Times

Chris Giles

The great stink of Thames Water

Separating punishment for past sins from future investment should be the priority

12.04.2024 30

Financial Times

Chris Giles

Searching in vain for the Laffer curve boost

Analysis of the UK Budget suggests revenue gains from tax cuts are vanishingly rare

14.03.2024 20

Financial Times

Chris Giles

The true economic consequences of Liz Truss

During a brief, chaotic stint as UK prime minister, her incompetence undermined the case for economic radicalism

01.03.2024 7

Financial Times

Chris Giles

How to start fixing Europe’s economy

The EU’s performance is both better and worse than commonly believed

20.02.2024 20

Financial Times

Chris Giles

Beware fiscal fairy tales

Budgetary policy is so difficult that most countries in the west are unlikely to live happily ever after

13.02.2024 30

Financial Times

Chris Giles

It’s OK to be complacent about Red Sea economic risks 

Houthi rebels are highly unlikely to be able to inflict global economic pain

31.01.2024 50

Financial Times

Chris Giles

Introducing the Sunak survivability statistic

The Budget will reveal the prime minister’s confidence about remaining in post

18.01.2024 50

Financial Times

Chris Giles

Buckle up — the inflation battle is entering a new phase

The US, UK and eurozone are on course to declare victory this year but difficult trade-offs await

03.01.2024 20

Financial Times

Chris Giles

Transatlantic resilience brings peak oil within sight

Opec is struggling to hold the world to ransom with high energy prices

21.12.2023 20

Financial Times

Chris Giles

Sorry America, China has a bigger economy than you

Measures that show the opposite have absurd implications and dangerous policy prescriptions

06.12.2023 20

Financial Times

Chris Giles

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