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Trump’s peace plan is a demand for Ukraine’s surrender
The Trump administration has been something of a pendulum in its position on the war in Ukraine, swinging between pro-Ukraine and pro-Russia positions over the past year. This week, it is swinging hard toward Moscow.
Earlier this week, Axios reported on a new 28-point Trump administration plan to end the war in Ukraine, echoing the 20-point plan that led to last month’s ceasefire in Gaza. The plan was formally presented to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Thursday by US Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll in Kyiv.
The points, published by the Financial Times on Friday, include several serious concessions that are red lines for the Ukrainians. Those include ceding territory not currently under Russian control, land that would give Russia full control of the disputed Donbas region. The Ukrainian military would also be capped at 600,000 troops, down from 900,000 today, under the plan. And Ukraine would have to enshrine in its constitution that it would not seek NATO membership and would be prohibited from hosting foreign troops on its soil, effectively scuttling Europe’s main plan to secure the peace. Europe’s main plan to fund Ukraine’s postwar rebuilding would also be hampered by the provision giving the US 50 percent of the funds from frozen Russian assets.
The plan does vaguely gesture toward security guarantees for Ukraine, leaves open the door to EU membership, and includes reassurances about Ukrainian sovereignty. But this plan would still be viewed by Ukraine as effectively surrender.
The government “must reject it. Ukrainian society won’t accept this,” Olena Halushka, a civil society activist with the International Center for Ukrainian Victory, told Vox.
There are indications that the US is dialing up the pressure on Ukraine to accept, however. Ukrainian officials told the Financial Times that the Americans want Zelenskyy to sign the deal by Thanksgiving and that the whole process should be wrapped up by early December. US officials have also reportedly suggested that they will cut military aid and intelligence sharing if © Vox
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