The U.S. President seems to be losing his marbles, so our PM should just keep doing trade deals with the rest of the world

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For 2025, I got some things right: Justin Trudeau would leave (Adrienne Batra and Brian Lilley still owe me lunch for that bet). The Liberals would have a leadership race and their numbers would improve (dramatically, as it turned out). The new Liberal leader would be an outsider (Mark Carney, take a bow). Doug Ford would win, big (and he remains a formidable political force).

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But I got one thing very wrong: notwithstanding all the above, I thought Pierre Poilievre could still win. His polling lead was too big, I said.

Well, so much for that prediction.

My fallibility thus established, I herewith offer my predictions for 2026. I’ll try to do better this time.

1. Donald Trump will have a major health crisis

This one isn’t hard: the U.S. President is already clearly unwell. He can’t stand for extended periods, he has mysterious bruising and swelling in his extremities, he’s getting more MRIs than you get hot meals, and – whenever he opens his mouth – Trump genuinely sounds like he is experiencing actual dementia.

There’s lots of Kremlinology going on, so no one knows for sure. But something’s up.

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