Erdogan’s Playbook: Words Versus Actions

Turkey’s Constraints: Why Erdogan’s Hands Are Tied

Washington: The Player Most Analysis Is Missing

Prevention: Two Tracks, Working Together

Until the flotilla meets Israeli naval vessels there is still a window for prevention. And prevention should be the main effort. Now what is the best approach, as we identified in the prevention phase the key player is the USA so Israel should immediately pick up the phone to Washington and frame this as mutual strategic exposure. A direct Turkish Israeli clash is the last thing either capital needs during the Iran confrontation. Washington should pursue urgent carrot and stick pressure on Ankara, with two explicit red lines: No Turkish soldiers aboard flotilla vessels, and no Turkish naval escort all the way to Gazan waters and mentioned the USA can use as leverage/pressure........

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