It’s less than a year since Labor regained power in NSW after more than a decade in opposition. But the results of the Resolve Political Monitor, commissioned by the Herald, suggest support for the Minns government is already fading.
NSW Opposition Leader Mark Speakman.Credit: James Brickwood
Labor’s primary vote in NSW has slipped to 34 per cent, down three points compared with the state election and a hefty 10 points lower than poll results in May last year. It is the first time Labor’s primary vote has fallen below the Coalition’s in NSW since September 2022.
The Coalition’s primary vote climbed to 38 per cent, up six points compared with November, despite having a relatively new Liberal leader with low name recognition. The Liberal-National primary vote was 35.4 per cent when it was defeated in last year’s election.
Premier Chris Minns holds a clear lead over Opposition Leader Mark Speakman as preferred premier (35 per cent to 16 per cent). But as the Herald’s state political editor Alexandra Smith reports, a massive 49 per cent of NSW voters are undecided about who they would prefer to lead the state.
Minns has been a hard-working and likeable premier and is a sure-footed public performer. But for such a large proportion of voters to be undecided about his leadership after nearly a year in office is a worrying sign for Labor.
At the last election the Coalition lost 10 seats as voters dispatched the Liberal-National government after 12 years in office. But the ALP did not receive a ringing endorsement. It fell just short of an outright parliamentary majority and must rely on the support of independents to govern.
The latest poll suggests the electorate is still quite ambivalent about Labor and many voters are unsure of what the Minns government stands for.
Labor came to power at a difficult moment. High inflation and rising interest rates during 2022 and 2023 caused the worst cost-of-living crunch in decades.
Minns must show some vision or voters will look elsewhere
8
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04.03.2024
It’s less than a year since Labor regained power in NSW after more than a decade in opposition. But the results of the Resolve Political Monitor, commissioned by the Herald, suggest support for the Minns government is already fading.
NSW Opposition Leader Mark Speakman.Credit: James Brickwood
Labor’s primary vote in NSW has slipped to 34 per cent, down three points compared with the state election and a hefty 10 points lower than poll results in May last year. It is the first........
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