With Trump’s help, the Senate looks good for Democrats

Last week, the National Republican Senatorial Committee tried to reassure its top donors, gathered on Georgia’s Sea Island, that everything looks rosy for the midterms. “I told attendees that I think all incumbent Republican senators will hold their seats because we have good candidates who are well funded,” pollster Erik Iverson told reporters.

But, as Axios scooped, Iverson was almost laughed out of the room. One participant called it “delusional.” Donors see the writing on the wall, and they know it doesn’t look good for Republicans.

The current Senate line-up is 53 Republicans and 45 Democrats plus two Independents, 53-47. This year, there are 35 Senate seats up on Nov. 3, of which Republicans are defending 22, and Democrats, are defending 13.

At first, the 2026 Senate field favored Republicans. But that’s no longer the case. Latest forecasts by leading pollsters say just the opposite. According to fredcornell.com, Democrats have a 60 percent chance of regaining control of the Senate. RacetotheWH.com rates Democrats’ chance of success even higher, at 72 percent.

To take control of the Senate, Democrats need to retain the seats they now hold, plus pick up four more. On both fronts, they look strong.

Incumbent Democratic senators practically certain to be reelected include Delaware’s Chris Coons, New Jersey’s Cory Booker, Rhode Island’s Jack Reed, and Massachusetts’ Ed Markey. In Georgia, Jon Ossoff was once considered the most........

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