The looming military confrontation between the United States and Iran increasingly appears not as a sudden escalation but as the outcome of a long-term and deliberate strategy capable of triggering a large-scale regional catastrophe.

Meanwhile, Turkey is building up troops on the border with Iran, and Iran has announced military exercises in the Gulf of Hormuz. This should come as no surprise, considering all that is going on in the world, domestic problems in the US, and the Western world teetering on an economic crisis.

In short, if the United States launches strikes on Iran, the worst-case outcome is not a short, contained conflict but a multi-front regional war that rapidly escapes Washington’s control.

This is such a tragedy. My thoughts and feelings are with the Iranians. What many warmongers don’t realize are the repercussions of any action, even if victory is declared. Things will soon be unsettled in Europe too; one only needs to look at what’s happening in the Baltic Sea.

We may still have 4-5 months of peace, but the situation is getting worse by the day. It should come as no surprise that much-touted peace deals, such as between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and the resulting transport corridors, are proving the “real” intention when one reads the latest headline, Azerbaijan eyes aiding Israel against Iran.

No one should be shocked, in retrospect, by the way the joint 2025 strikes were conducted by long-range bombers traveling from the US. Historical, diplomatic, and security reports have indicated that the U.S. has provided significant military aid to Azerbaijan to help protect its infrastructure against Iran, including the funding of coastal radar sites and provision of patrol boats. In the context of broader US-Iran tensions, Azerbaijan has frequently been cited as a strategic location for monitoring Iran.

It is no secret that Azerbaijan is Israel’s most strategic partner in the region, mostly because it serves as Israel’s main oil source, on and off the books. Iceberg Effect Dating back to 2009, a supposed leaked U.S. diplomatic cable from 2009 quoted Aliyev, who succeeded his father in........

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