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How the US midterm election results redefine Australia's security

18 0
yesterday

The United States Congress will transform dramatically in January following the historic Republican defeat at the midterm elections. With Democrats securing clear majorities in both the House of Representatives and the Senate, power dynamics in Washington have shifted profoundly.

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Donald Trump now faces the reality of a lame duck presidency, constrained by a hostile legislature ready to block his agenda and scrutinise his administration. Yet, while his tenure ends in two short years and the probability of a Democratic presidency looms large, he remains one of the most powerful - and unpredictable - individuals on earth.

This near extinction level event for Republicans makes a deep reflection on the trajectory of Australian and American relations timely. The immediate challenge for Australia is delicate and complex. Canberra must keep the unpredictable president in check and in Australia's corner, all while laying the necessary groundwork for the geopolitical changes certain to occur if Democrats secure the White House and hold both chambers in 2028.

What are the ways this is going to affect Australia? What does it mean for AUKUS, the security pact originally brokered by Democratic president Joe Biden?

And what will happen to the punishing tariffs imposed on international trading partners? Can a newly empowered Democratic legislature successfully overturn these economic barriers before the next election?

Beyond trade and defence, cultural and regulatory clashes loom on the........

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