How is President Joe Biden doing in his campaign for reelection?

We can answer that question from a public opinion point of view only by making comparisons across time and space.

Start with the easiest point of comparison.

About two months ago, the 538 poll average put former President Donald Trump 2 points ahead of Biden in the national horserace.

Today their average shows Biden just seven-tenths of a point behind. RealClearPolitics’s average gives Donald Trump an even smaller three-tenths of a point lead.

Which is to say, the race is tied. For the most part, it’s been a 1- or 2-point race either way since the midterm elections. But the president seems to be doing a bit better than he was a couple of months ago.

That’s reflected in swing state polling as well. In every one of those seven states (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin), Biden is faring better today than he was two months ago.

In critical Pennsylvania, for........

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