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Israel's next move can disarm Tehran or upend a fragile global detente

64 0
22.04.2024

Last week, we celebrated the 82nd anniversary of the “Doolittle Raid.” A handful of U.S. Army Air Force B-25s operating from a base President Franklin Roosevelt called Shangri-La, bombed Tokyo in the first direct American attack on the Japanese mainland after Pearl Harbor.

Little damage was done, but the psychological effect on the Japanese was a powerful warning to the public that it was no longer safe from attack.

After Iran’s massive drone and missile strike on Israel, the question of what if anything Israel would do loomed like a damoclean sword over the region. Last Friday, Israel launched a modest strike against targets in Isfahan; a city well inside Iran, not unlike in scope to the Doolittle. The critical question now is whether that will end the crisis or merely make it a starting point for escalation.

Some Israeli domestic factions as well as other supporters abroad believe Iran’s attack created the opportunity and rationale to destroy Iran’s nuclear infrastructure once and for all. That would be catastrophic. But suppose such an option was still under consideration.

Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, including personnel, is spread out over vast........

© The Hill


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