Airbus is trimming its 20-year jet demand forecast as Iran war and tariffs stall aviation's rebound

The planemaker now expects 42,060 industry-wide passenger jet deliveries through 2045, down 1% from its previous rolling forecast

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A 1% cut to its long-term outlook for global passenger jet demand was announced by Airbus on Wednesday, with the planemaker pointing to the Iran war and escalating trade tensions as twin headwinds that have knocked aviation's post-COVID rebound off course.

Across the full forecast window, the company puts industry-wide deliveries at 42,060 jets — a figure covering 2026 through 2045 that represents a 1% reduction from the prior edition of its rolling outlook. Single-aisle planes account for 33,920 of those deliveries,........

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