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GWYNNE DYER: What options does Iran have now?

The Strait of Hormuz blockage has put Iran in a position of power in the war with the US, but what will Trump do next?

The Iranians know they have won, but President Donald Trump doesn’t get it yet. He’s still at the stage of counting up the US and Israeli air strikes and assuming that those numbers mean a US victory is possible.

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But five gets you 10 that the Iranians are already thinking about nuclear weapons. Not their own, which don’t exist — America’s.

The current spate of American troop movements will last a little longer, as the 11th and 31st Marine Expeditionary Units and some 82nd Airborne troops (totalling 11,000-12,000 people) arrive in the region and the planners wait for Trump to decide which way to jump. He may even wait for the other 10,000 soldiers his people are now talking about to arrive.

The US Navy is not crazy enough to send its big ships into the Persian Gulf, so the troops will have to be redistributed into other, smaller forms of sea and air transport. Then they can try to land on Kharg Island or somewhere around the Strait of Hormuz if the order is given.

All this, therefore, could take us down to the end of April. In the United States, with the help of cowed media, Trump can probably persuade a large minority of American voters that some kind of secret........

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