Will the Republicans Really Lose — Again?
Remember just a few short weeks ago: Donald Trump’s heroic defiance of an assassination attempt was grudgingly admired even by opponents, while the Democrats were in disarray over what to do about their demented president running for re-election — and, to compound their dilemma, his highly implausible replacement. Trump looked like a shoe-in as the next president. All the best commentators were saying so.
Yet now the Democrat left establishment — with the most cringeworthy candidate ever proposed by a major party — are back in the race. Even allowing for the bias of the opinion polls, the very notion that this ludicrous woman should be taken seriously by anyone is a damning indictment of America’s politics and where it is taking the world.
That intensive coaching prevented her from making a fool of herself in the recent debate is heralded as a remarkable achievement, which in a sense it was.
Recall that something similar happened in the midterm elections in 2022. Two years of disastrous and authoritarian policies by the Biden administration led to confident predictions that the Republicans would trounce them even more thoroughly than usually happens in midterms. In the event, they did not trounce them at all, and the blowback to the governing party was even milder than usual.
So what is going on here?
It is not that the Democrats are especially skillful at political maneuvering, nor that Republicans are politically incompetent (although...).
Something deeper lies beneath all this: changes in the social and especially the ideological make-up of America that enabled the left wing of the Democrat party to take control of the United States in the first place, changes that the conservative Republican establishment is still determined to ignore, and that are changing the Republican establishment itself.
This becomes clear by glancing at the constituency of “Kamala.” The very fact that everyone........
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