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Paul Wiseman

Paul Wiseman

Inc.com

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Hurricanes and strikes limit US payroll gains to just 12,000, but jobless rate steady at 4.1%

The jobs report also revised down gains in August and September by a combined 112,000, indicating that the labor market wasn't quite as robust then as...

01.11.2024 8

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Biden to stop U.S. citizens from helping China’s AI sector find talent as part of widened investment ban

Blocking China's high-tech ambitions is one of the few issues that enjoys broad support in Washington from both Republicans and Democrats.

29.10.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

The IMF forecasts a sharp drop in inflation—but China’s growth is set to slow

The IMF expects China's economic growth to slow from 5.2% last year to 4.8% this year and 4.5% in 2025.

22.10.2024 6

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Donald Trump isn’t letting go of the idea that high tariffs won’t raise inflation no matter what economists say

Appearing before a friendly audience at the Economic Club of Chicago, the Republican presidential nominee repeatedly asserted that tariffs are...

16.10.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Trump’s anti-inflation economic plans would likely send prices surging, experts say

They warn that his plans to impose huge tariffs on imported goods, deport millions of migrant workers and demand a voice in the Federal Reserve's...

15.10.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

U.S. economy creates 254,000 jobs as unemployment rate dips to 4.1% in blowout report

In its report Friday, the Labor Department also revised up its estimate of job growth in July and August by a combined 72,000.

04.10.2024 20

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Here’s how Biden could use a 1947 law to suspend the dockworkers’ strike

Biden has said, though, that he won't intervene in the strike.

02.10.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

US job openings rose in August, surprising economists

The Labor Department reported Tuesday that employers posted 8 million vacancies in August, up from 7.7 million in July.

01.10.2024 5

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

How Trump’s 60% tariffs on China imports and up to 20% on everything else would work—and what they would do

“Tariffs are the greatest thing ever invented,’’ Trump said this month in Flint, Mich.

27.09.2024 20

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

It’s easier than ever to keep your job—but harder than ever to land one

The job market is in an unusual place right now.

05.09.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Americans looking for work feel increasingly insecure as red-hot labor market cools down

The pace of hiring has slowed, and landing a job has become harder.

05.09.2024 8

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

AI may change your job but it won’t eliminate many, labor experts say

The technology might turn out to be more like breakthroughs of the past — the steam engine, electricity, the Internet: That is, eliminate some jobs...

02.09.2024 20

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Economy gets a jolt of good news as GDP rises and inflation falls

The U.S. economy grew last quarter at a healthy 3% annual pace, an upgrade of an initial estimate, while corporate profits hit a record high.

29.08.2024 9

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Kamala Harris’ presidential prospects lift consumer sentiment

Americans' spirits are an important gauge for whether they're in the mood to shop; spending accounts for about 70% of U.S. economic activity.

16.08.2024 8

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Unemployment rate jumped to 4.3% in July as hiring hit the brakes

The finance and information sector lost jobs as the construction sector grew.

02.08.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Hiring falls below pre-pandemic levels as employers pull back in a cooling job market

"The labor market is now slacker and slower than before the pandemic, and the pace of hiring is the slowest it has been since 2014, outside of the...

30.07.2024 3

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

U.S. economy sped up last quarter, boosting hopes for a ‘soft landing’

Inflation continued to ease as consumer spending held up, bringing the Fed closer to a likely interest-rate cut in September.

25.07.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Inflation becomes a wholesalers’ problem as producer prices surge

The Producer Price Index posted the largest one-month increase in over a year.

12.07.2024 6

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Jerome Powell’s sudden bearishness on the jobs market is a welcome sign for Wall Street

"We’re not just an inflation-targeting central bank," Powell told the House Financial Services Committee on the second of two days of semi-annual...

10.07.2024 5

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Job growth slows but remains solid at 206,000, while unemployment ticks up to 4.1% as more people enter the workforce

The government also sharply revised down its estimate of job growth for April and May by a combined 111,000.

05.07.2024 30

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

U.S economy delivers another healthy month of hiring, adding 206,000 jobs in June

Report from the Labor Department also showed that the unemployment rate ticked up from 4% to a still-low 4.1%.

05.07.2024 20

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Low-priced Chinese EVs made in Mexico plants pose a potentially ‘extinction-level event’ for America’s auto industry

It's a scenario that terrifies America's auto industry.

27.06.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

'The world might become stuck in the slow lane'—World Bank warns of the consequences of sustaining elevated interest rates

"We need to avoid lower-for-longer economic growth around the world," said The World Bank's deputy chief economist Ayhan Kose.

11.06.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Biden and Trump united on heavy import tariffs as election approaches

Trump and Biden agree on essentially nothing else, from taxes and climate change to immigration and regulation.

21.05.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

High interest rates take a bite out of hiring as employers add just 175,000 jobs in April

April's figure is just over half the previous month's number.

03.05.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

High interest rates catch up to economic growth as GDP slows dramatically to 1.6%

Consumers kept spending at a solid pace, but overall, the economy's “momentum is cooling," said one economist.

25.04.2024 20

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

‘The way to solve an inflation crisis is to endure an immigration crisis’: The mystery in the labor market finally gets explained

In 2019, the CBO estimated that net immigration would equal about 1 million in 2023. The actual number was more than triple that estimate: 3.3...

12.04.2024 20

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Producer price index rises at fastest pace in nearly a year as storm of bad inflation news mounts

The Labor Department said its producer price index rose 2.1% last month from March 2023, the biggest year-over-year jump since April 2023.

11.04.2024 20

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Another hot jobs report jolts Wall Street, jeopardizing rate cuts during election year

Friday’s report from the Labor Department also showed that the unemployment rate dipped to 3.8% from 3.9% in February.

05.04.2024 20

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Despite rumors of a job-market slowdown, hiring and job openings stayed steady in February

"There is plenty of speculation that employment has slowed down," but data doesn't stand it up, one economist said.

02.04.2024 20

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Economists say you’re wrong for wanting prices to start falling—and they point to the Great Depression of the 1930s

“Most Americans are not just looking for disinflation," the Fed's Lisa Cook said last year. “They’re looking for deflation."

30.03.2024 20

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Jerome Powell doesn’t want to ‘jinx’ his war on inflation: ‘I’m a superstitious person’

Powell said Friday he still expected "inflation to come down on a sometimes bumpy path to 2%."

30.03.2024 20

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge slowed in February

The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.3% from January to February, decelerating from a 0.4% increase the previous month.

29.03.2024 30

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

The U.S. economy just won't quit — fourth-quarter GDP was revised even higher than initial estimate

The government upped its estimate of GDP growth for the last quarter of 2023 to 3.4%, from an earlier 3.2%.

28.03.2024 40

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Economy delivers another strong month with 275,000 jobs created in February

Last month’s job growth was up from a revised gain of 229,000 jobs in January. The unemployment rate ticked up two-tenths of a point to 3.9%.

08.03.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

February jobs report expected to show healthy hiring increase

The job market’s health over the past three years, as the economy accelerated out of the pandemic recession, has been remarkably steady and strong.

08.03.2024 7

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

U.S. economy grew 3.2% in fourth quarter, slight downgrade from initial estimate

The economy grew 2.5% for all of 2023, topping the 1.9% growth in 2022.

28.02.2024 20

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Robots and AI are saving the American economy with a boom in productivity, the ‘magic beanstalk beans’ that allow higher wages without inflation

Chronic worker shortages have led many companies to invest in machines to do some of the work they can’t find people to do.

21.02.2024 20

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Only 25% of business economists say the U.S. will have a recession this year, but they worry about China-Taiwan conflict and the 2024 elections

A year ago, most forecasters expected the U.S. economy—the world’s largest—to slide into a recession.

12.02.2024 20

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Chilly relations with Beijing mean Mexico now exports more than China to the U.S. for the first time in over 20 years

The last time that Mexican goods imported by the United States exceeded the value of China's imports was in 2002.

08.02.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Economy beats expectations again, adding 353,000 jobs in January

The unemployment rate stayed at 3.7%, just above a half-century low.

02.02.2024 30

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Layoffs rose in December as quits fell to 3-year low in a sign the job market is cooling

But job openings ticked up to 9 million last month.

30.01.2024 20

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

IMF chief economist says world economy is 'now in the final descent toward a soft landing'

The resilient American economy has led the IMF to upgrade its outlook for the whole world this year.

30.01.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

America shocks economists again with 3.3% fourth quarter GDP growth as 'soft landing' looms ever nearer

Thursday’s report from the Commerce Department said GDP decelerated from its sizzling 4.9% growth rate the previous quarter.

25.01.2024 30

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Momentum for rare economic 'soft landing' building with expected 2% GDP reading

The expected reading for the fourth quarter would be a deceleration from a vigorous 4.9% growth rate in the July-September quarter, but still robust.

25.01.2024 9

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Wholesale prices in December went in reverse even as consumer inflation heated up

Producer prices fell for the third month in a row in December, declining 0.1% and rising a mild 1% on an annual basis.

12.01.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Inflation ticks up on both monthly, annual basis, signaling bumpy ride ahead in supposed soft landing for the economy

Overall prices rose 0.3% from November and 3.4% from 12 months earlier, compared to respective increases of 0.1% and 3.1% the previous month.

11.01.2024 70

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

World Bank sees third straight year of slowing global economy but 'the risk of a global recession has receded'

The World Bank forecast Tuesday that the world economy will expand just 2.4% this year, down from 2.6% in 2023, 3% in 2022 and 6.2% in 2021.

09.01.2024 40

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Employers added a surprising 216,000 jobs in December, showing high interest rates are no match for the job market

The unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.7%, the 23rd month in a row that it remained below 4%.

05.01.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

Jobs report: Trend toward slower, but still healthy, hiring likely continued in December

The Labor Department is expected to report Friday that employers added a still-solid 160,000 jobs last month, according to a survey of forecasters by...

05.01.2024 10

Fortune

Paul Wiseman

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