Looking ahead at 2024
Looking into the snow globe, it’s that time of year to predict and prognosticate what awaits this tired world in the New Year. There’s a certain trepidation in the air as we view the current and emerging crises, especially during a highly contested election year in so many key countries.
Flashpoints
Iran showdown: The U.S. will inevitably clash with one of Iran’s many proxy forces, if not the Islamic Republic directly. The Red Sea shipping crisis will expand with Yemeni Houthis, the Iran-backed militia, firing on Western merchant vessels. Then there’s Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza. This is an unfolding scenario that could be capped off by the Tehran regime acquiring and testing a nuclear weapon. Conversely, domestic discord inside the Islamic Republic could prove to be the Achilles heel of the mullahs.
Ukraine war: Where do we go from here? Two years into this bloody war, diplomatic moves to end this bloodshed on Europe’s doorstep are being discussed in Western capitals. Despite some notable Ukrainian military successes, Russia’s military grip hasn’t been broken. Massive American and European military commitments to the Kyiv government will continue, but with waning Western support.
Gaza/Israel: The military slugfest continues with appalling humanitarian........
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