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12:30 Report — Battleground polls carry warning signs for Trump

7 0
29.08.2024
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12:30 REPORT

It’s Thursday. It's the eve of a long holiday weekend! Here’s what’s happening today:

  • Vice President Harris and Tim Walz are sitting down for their first joint interview to be aired at 9 p.m. on CNN.
  • Former President Trump will be attending a town hall moderated by former Democratic Rep. Tulsi Gabbard.
  • New polls show Harris closing the gap with Trump in key battleground states.


I’m Lauren Sforza, filling in for Cate, with a quick recap of the morning and what’s coming up. Send tips, commentary, feedback and cookie recipes to cmartel@thehill.com. Did someone forward this newsletter to you? Sign up here. 

📊 Talk of the Morning

 

These battleground polls are *tight*:

New polls from Emerson College/The Hill and Fox News show a very close race in battleground states across the country and carry some notable warning signs for former President Trump.

The numbers: Trump is behind in several states he lost in 2020 by similar margins, like Michigan, Georgia and Nevada. The Emerson College/The Hill poll found Vice President Harris narrowly leading Trump in Georgia (49 percent to 48 percent), Michigan (50 percent to 47 percent) and Nevada (49 percent to 48 percent).

It’s not all bad news for Trump: He narrowly edges out Harris in Arizona and Wisconsin — two states he lost in 2020 — according to the Emerson College/The Hill poll. The Fox News poll shows him trailing Harris in Arizona by 1 point.

The two candidates are tied in Pennsylvania at 48 percent support, according to the Emerson College/The Hill poll. The Hill’s Caroline Vakil has the breakdown here.

According to The Fox News poll, Harris leads Trump in these states:

  • Arizona by 1 point (48 percent support to 47 percent)
  • Georgia by 2 points (48 percent to 46 percent)
  • Nevada by 2 points (48 percent to 46 percent).

Trump leads in North Carolina, which he narrowly won in 2020.

Trump’s campaign has tried to discredit the Fox News poll, which dropped Wednesday, calling it “atrocious polling.” The Hill’s Dominick Mastrangelo has the latest here.

 

➤ HARRIS EXTENDS LEAD AMONG WOMEN, HISPANIC VOTERS:

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll found that Harris has widened her lead among both women and Hispanic voters. Harris led Trump by 13........

© The Hill


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