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How the 2024 election compares in history 

6 0
08.11.2024
*{box-sizing:border-box}body{margin:0;padding:0}a[x-apple-data-detectors]{color:inherit!important;text-decoration:inherit!important}#MessageViewBody a{color:inherit;text-decoration:none}p{line-height:inherit}.desktop_hide,.desktop_hide table{mso-hide:all;display:none;max-height:0;overflow:hidden}.image_block img div{display:none}sub,sup{font-size:75%;line-height:0}#converted-body .list_block ol,#converted-body .list_block ul,.body [class~=x_list_block] ol,.body [class~=x_list_block] ul,u .body .list_block ol,u .body .list_block ul{padding-left:20px} @media (max-width:620px){.desktop_hide table.icons-outer{display:inline-table!important}.image_block div.fullWidth{max-width:100%!important}.mobile_hide{display:none}.row-content{width:100%!important}.stack .column{width:100%;display:block}.mobile_hide{min-height:0;max-height:0;max-width:0;overflow:hidden;font-size:0}.desktop_hide,.desktop_hide table{display:table!important;max-height:none!important}.reverse{display:table;width:100%}.reverse .column.first{display:table-footer-group!important}.reverse .column.last{display:table-header-group!important}.row-11 td.column.first .border,.row-9 td.column.first .border{padding:5px 5px 15px 25px;border-top:0;border-right:0;border-bottom:0;border-left:0}.row-11 td.column.last .border,.row-13 td.column.last .border,.row-9 td.column.last .border{padding:5px 20px 25px 5px;border-top:0;border-right:0;border-bottom:0;border-left:0}.row-13 td.column.first .border{padding:5px 5px 15px 25px;border-top:0;border-right:0;border-bottom:15px solid transparent;border-left:0}} Welcome to The Hill's Campaign newsletter

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Campaign Report

Campaign Report

 

Welcome to The Hill’s Campaign Report newsletter, I'm Jared Gans. Before we jump in today, a note to our readers:

 

Today's issue of Campaign Report is our last for the 2024 cycle. We've enjoyed guiding you through every twist and turn of this historic period.

If you'd like to continue receiving updates on the presidential transition, the change in power come January and more as final House races are called, please sign up for The Hill's Evening Report newsletter.

Click here to sign up for Evening Report

If you're not already a regular reader, Evening Report publishes around the same time each workday, in the late afternoon, and provides a recap of all the big stories in politics from a range of perspectives.

Thanks again for your continued readership. Now, let's jump in!

 

The Big Story

How the 2024 election compares in history

President-elect Trump has become the second person to be elected to nonconsecutive terms in the White House, sweeping all seven major swing states, but his victory was still quite narrow by even recent historical standards.

© AP Photo/Evan Vucci

Polling in the lead-up to Election Day had presented the race as neck and neck, a 50-50 tossup. While the final votes still need to be counted and Vice President Harris has closed the gap in a few key states, Trump was able to take all major battlegrounds by margins outside recount territory.

The election results were certainly more decisive in 2024 than they were in 2016 or 2020, when no more than tens of thousands of votes in a few states separated the winning and losing candidates. But from a historical perspective, the election was still incredibly close.

Trump has been projected to win 312 electoral votes to Harris’s 226. Votes are still being counted, but he currently leads the popular vote by about 4.5 million votes, just over 2 points, a gap that may narrow but should still leave him as the first Republican to win the popular vote since 2004.

Trump’s electoral vote total is roughly in the middle of the pack of the elections since the 1960s when the total number of votes for the Electoral College reached the 538 it stands at today. It’s comfortably more than the 297 that Jimmy Carter won in 1976 and 286 that George W. Bush won in 2004, but it’s a........

© The Hill


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