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21.10.2024

Election 2024

Liz Wolfe | 10.21.2024 9:30 AM

State of the race: "Kamala Harris and Donald J. Trump are essentially tied—with neither candidate ahead by even a single point—in The New York Times's polling average of five critical battleground states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin and North Carolina," reports Times analyst Nate Cohn. "In North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan, neither candidate even 'leads' by more than two-tenths of a percentage point. Neither can realistically win the presidency without winning at least one of these states."

One interesting feature of the race right now—and we are two weeks out from election day—is the number of uncommitted/undecided voters, and the fact that this group skews younger. Older voters have largely made up their minds, but "43 percent of 18- to 25-year-olds are uncommitted, a larger share than any other age group," reports The Washington Post, noting too that a higher portion of non-white voters have yet to make up their minds when compared with white voters.

"Trump is strongest in Arizona, where he holds an edge of six percentage points among registered voters," reports the Post.........

© Reason.com


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