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Pakistan’s Mineral Moment: Opportunity, Risk, and the Path to Shared Prosperity

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Pakistan is once again in the global spotlight, not for crisis, but for opportunity. From the copper-gold reserves of Reko Diq to the untapped mineral belts of Balochistan and the northern regions, international interest is growing rapidly. Europe, the Gulf, China, and the United States are all seeking a foothold in what is increasingly seen as a strategic mineral frontier.

This attention is not accidental. The global transition to clean energy, electric vehicles, and digital infrastructure has triggered an unprecedented demand for critical minerals. Copper, lithium, and rare earth elements are no longer just commodities, they are instruments of geopolitical power. Pakistan, long underexplored, now finds itself at the crossroads of this new global race. Yet, this moment of opportunity is equally a moment of reckoning.

Systemic Weaknesses: The Risk Beneath the Opportunity

Despite its resource potential, Pakistan’s mineral sector is constrained by deep-rooted structural weaknesses. First, policy inconsistency remains a major deterrent. Investors recall the long legal dispute over Reko Diq, which culminated in international arbitration and reputational damage. Although the project has since been revived, it serves as a reminder that contracts in Pakistan have not always been seen as sacrosanct.

Secondly, institutional fragmentation weakens governance. Overlapping federal and provincial mandates, particularly after the 18th Amendment, have created ambiguity in licensing, revenue sharing, and regulatory oversight. This lack of clarity increases........

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