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Disastrous polls prove Democrats need a backup plan for 2024

13 1
02.01.2024

The 'Outnumbered' panel discusses a New York Times opinion essay saying voters could see Biden as a riskier option than Trump in 2024.

It is becoming increasingly clear that President Joe Biden should not be the Democratic nominee for president in 2024.

Most recent public polls show Biden losing to former President Donald Trump in a general election matchup. In the latest CNBC poll, Biden trails Trump by six points, 48% to 42%. This should unnerve Democrats, especially given that Biden led Trump by about 10 points in December 2019, 11 months before narrowly winning the 2020 election.

There are striking similarities between Biden and former President Jimmy Carter, the last Democratic president to lose re-election. For one, Biden’s year-end approval rating (39%) is almost identical to what Carter’s (37%) was in December 1979, the year before he lost in a landslide to Ronald Reagan.

BIDEN APPROVAL RATING NUMBERS DISMAL COMPARED TO PREVIOUS MODERN PRESIDENTS, GALLUP FINDS

Moreover, Biden’s first term – much like Carter’s – has been defined by economic pessimism, a migrant crisis and unrest overseas: the withdrawal from Afghanistan, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and now the Israel-Hamas war.

President Biden's age is a big issue with potential voters. He fell on stage during the U.S. Air Force Academy graduation ceremony at Falcon Stadium, June 1, 2023, in Colorado Springs, Colorado. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)

And to be sure, Biden badly trails Trump on these major issues – by 21 points on the economy, 23 points on border security, and 11 points on the Israel-Hamas war, according to a recent Marquette University poll.

Notably, Biden is losing ground with the core of the Democratic base – young, liberal voters and non-White voters – in a way that is reminiscent of the challenges Carter faced during his re-election campaign. A recent New York Times/Siena College poll in swing-states shows a substantial erosion in support for Biden among African American, Latino and younger voters.

According to the latest AP-NORC poll, just 50% of African Americans approve of the president, down from 86% in July 2021.

Opposition to Biden’s handing of the Israel-Hamas conflict has been a major flashpoint. Three-quarters of voters ages 18-29 disapprove of how Biden has handled the conflict, according to the most recent New York Times/Siena College poll.

It is crucial to note that Biden is contending with a number of personal issues that even Carter did not. The legal problems facing the president and his son continue to metastasize, and........

© Fox News


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