Fox News chief political anchor Bret Baier explains how disaster declarations in counties are causing closures for some boards of elections offices on 'Special Report.'

As we start the final month of the presidential campaign, the race appears to remain very close – much like every election of this century (except for Barack Obama’s first race in 2008). The latest Fox News national poll shows a two-point race in the national popular vote, with Vice President Kamala Harris slightly ahead of former President Trump 50-48 – and each of the seven key battleground states similarly showing the candidates within the margin of error from each other.

If you want to drop into the weeds (and I guess that’s why they pay me), I think there remain five key numbers that will indicate which candidate has the momentum in the race – and tell you which campaign is closer to achieving its goal.

I’d argue the key "weeds that count" are: Trump’s "number," Trump’s support among Hispanic and African American voters, Harris’s support among Republicans who don’t describe themselves as "MAGA," and Harris-Walz support among voters in rural America.

TRUMP CAN WIN ON THESE 3 KEY ISSUES, MICHIGAN VOTERS TELL FOX

Trump’s number is the number I’ve looked at all year: His share of the popular vote. All year it has hovered around 48% – in all the most-respected public polls. Trump’s political persona is about as solidified as any American politician in my professional lifetime. There is little that he, his detractors, or his supporters can say or do that will shake voters’ impression of him – either positively or negatively. His vote share has basically remained what it is through almost a decade of his public life.

The presidential election comes down to how well former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris perform on the numbers – from how Trump does with minorities to how........

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