3 numbers that explain November election results – it wasn't about Kamala
President Biden appeared to rest his eyes during the Lobito Corridor Trans-Africa Summit in Lobito, Angola on Wednesday, Dec. 4, 2024. (Reuters)
A month out – and there’s only one verdict for the November outcome: Joe Biden lost.
Yes, that’s not a typo: Biden lost.
Heading into the campaign (a year ago). There were three poll numbers that stood out: 30, 40 and 97.
Former President Trump dances during a campaign rally at Findlay Toyota Center on Oct. 13, 2024 in Prescott Valley, Arizona. (Rebecca Noble/Getty Images)
The 30%, that’s (roughly) the percentage of Americans who thought the country was on the "right track." The 40% (roughly) was the percentage of Americans who approved of Biden’s performance as president.
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Those were not good numbers for the incumbent.
To compound the challenge, there’s the third number: 97%. That’s the percentage of Trump supporters (half the country) who thought that "things were just better when he was President."
That’s an even worse number for anyone (anyone) running against him. It meant the notion that one could make the electorate focus on Trump was a fool’s errand: His voters actually supported him – one couldn’t revert to "the other guy is worse."
Those three numbers (from January 2024) were not the result of a big advertising campaign… they were the result of three years of the Biden administration.
Joe Biden is sworn in as the 46th president of the United States in Washington, D.C., on Jan. 20, 2021. (Liu Jie/Xinhua via Getty Images)
When Biden took office in 2021, he knew he had a simple but audacious goal: Prove that American government can work.
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In the wake of the COVID pandemic, Trump’s efforts to reduce government regulation, and adhere to Reagan’s mantra (from his first inaugural), "government is not the solution to our problem; government is the problem," the Biden administration was going to convince Americans that American governmental institutions were going to help alleviate a range of problems.
His goal was to prove that both........
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