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Where the battleground states stand as Election Day dawns

5 30
05.11.2024

It’s time.

The campaign for the White House is almost over and, on Tuesday, the voters will deliver their verdict.

Around 75 million people have already cast their ballots.

The election will likely be decided in seven battlegrounds: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

The opinion polls are tighter in more states than any election in memory.

In the polling averages maintained by The Hill and Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ), the margin separating the two candidates is under two percentage points in six of those seven states.

Here is where things stand in each one of the crucial states.

Arizona

11 Electoral College votes/Polls close: 9pm ET

Trump polls more strongly in Arizona than in any other battleground state.

In The Hill/DDHQ averages, he is up by 2.5 points. In the New York Times polling averages, he is up by three. President Biden prevailed in the state by less than half a point in 2020.

Early voting figures do not look very promising for Harris, though there is always a danger in extrapolating too much from those statistics.

In the latest figures from the University of Florida’s Election Lab — which specializes in tracking early voting — Republicans have cast 41 percent of the ballots and Democrats 33 percent.

During early voting in 2020, registered Democrats and Republicans cast about 37 percent of the ballots apiece, with the remainder coming from people registered with minor parties or unaffiliated.

Georgia

16 Electoral College votes/Polls close: 7pm ET

Georgia was the site of another extremely narrow Biden victory in 2020 and it would be a big blow for Trump if he does not take it back this time.

He leads by 1.8 points in The........

© The Hill


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