In the midst of the prolonged and devastating conflict between Israel and Hamas, a new ceasefire deal appears to be within reach, largely driven by the strategic push from the United States. Over six months have passed since Israel and Hamas last exchanged prisoners, and now, a fresh initiative from US President Joe Biden seeks to bring an end to the violence in Gaza. The proposed plan includes a comprehensive cessation of hostilities, Israeli troop withdrawal from densely populated areas, and a significant increase in humanitarian aid to Gaza. In exchange, Israel would secure the release of some hostages, both living and deceased.

President Biden’s proposal, presented on May 31, outlines a three-stage plan to halt the conflict and facilitate long-term peace in the region. The first stage involves an immediate ceasefire, Israeli withdrawal from occupied zones in Gaza, and the opening of humanitarian corridors to alleviate the dire conditions faced by Gazans. If successful, the next stage would establish a more permanent ceasefire and secure the release of remaining hostages. Finally, the third stage envisions a large-scale reconstruction effort for Gaza, aimed at rebuilding infrastructure and improving living conditions.

According to Tel Aviv-based political analyst Amir Oren, the likelihood of this deal materializing is significant, with more than a fifty percent chance of success. “Netanyahu cannot say no to Biden, especially because it was his own offer from the start,” Oren asserts, highlighting the multifaceted pressure on the Israeli Prime Minister from both domestic and international fronts.

The Biden administration’s push for the deal is motivated by several key factors. Firstly, there is a strong desire to prevent further escalation of the conflict, which could potentially ignite a broader regional war involving Hezbollah in Lebanon and possibly........

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