The Edmonton Oilers keep rolling.

Saturday night’s win over the Utah Mammoth marked the fourth time in the first eight games the Oilers scored more than five goals, and they’ve found the back of the net at least three times in each game so far this season. This is largely on the backs of a top line that’s operating at a record-breaking pace, making some fans wonder if this is sustainable. The short answer is no; however, a regression all the way to league averages isn’t going to happen either, as the Oilers’ offence is anything but average.

Metric

2026-27

2025-26

Oilers’ Shooting %

17.61%

9.18%

NHL Average Shooting %

9.66%

9.53%

Oilers Goals For/60 Mins

3.86

2.55

NHL Average Goals For/60 Mins

2.49

2.52

Oilers xGF/60 Mins (5-on-5)

2.32

2.78

NHL Average xGF/60 Mins (5-on-5)

2.66

2.67

Oilers HDCF/Game

9.57

11.9

League Average HDCF/60 Mins

11.19

11.45

Data via Natural Stat Trick.

If you’ve felt like there have been quite a few games this season where the Oilers had 20 shots on goal and five goals on the board, you’re not alone, and you’re not wrong. The Oilers lead the league in shooting percentage and are at nearly twice the league’s average. It’s early, but that’s a staggering statistic. If they were shooting at the league’s average percentage, the Oilers would have roughly 15 fewer goals this season and probably at least a couple fewer wins.

The advanced stats tell an even more interesting story. The Oilers are below average in expected goals per game at five-on-five this season, and are also behind last year’s........

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