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Mohamed A. El-Erian

Mohamed A. El-Erian

Project Syndicate

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A Baseline Scenario for the Global Economy in 2025

previous day 30

Project Syndicate

Mohamed A. El-Erian

This is not France's 'Truss moment'

Quite a few observers have described the dramatic fall of the Barnier government in France not just as a political crisis but also an economic and...

06.12.2024 30

The Japan Times

Mohamed A. El-Erian

Once Again, It Was the Economy, Stupid

CAMBRIDGE – “It’s the economy, stupid!” This famous mantra, coined by the political strategist James Carville, helped Bill Clinton unseat...

14.11.2024 30

Project Syndicate

Mohamed A. El-Erian

How to Judge the New British Government’s First Budget

CAMBRIDGE – Here is an easy prediction: The budget that UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves presents on October 30 will please almost no...

17.10.2024 20

Project Syndicate

Mohamed A. El-Erian

Analytical Volatility Is Worse than Market Whiplash

CAMBRIDGE – To the extent that financial historians ever refer back to August 2024, I suspect it will be for the craziness of the first three days...

30.08.2024 60

Project Syndicate

Mohamed A. El-Erian

Beware of the Fed’s Contrived Consensus

CAMBRIDGE – Consider last week’s tale of two central banks. Each is long-established, with influence that extends well beyond its country’s...

08.08.2024 40

Project Syndicate

Mohamed A. El-Erian

The Factors Behind US Investor Confidence

CAMBRIDGE – Investors in US markets over the past year have shown a remarkable ability to brush off domestic and external risks to the economy’s...

25.07.2024 30

Project Syndicate

Mohamed A. El-Erian

The Growth Agenda for the United Kingdom

CAMBRIDGE – As in many other developed countries lately, the two major political parties in the United Kingdom have embraced economic growth as...

26.06.2024 40

Project Syndicate

Mohamed A. El-Erian

Navigating Major Transitions in an Uncertain Economy

CAMBRIDGE – Once again, US economic and market forecasters are having a difficult time. Worse, while 2023 surprised on the upside, the deviation...

26.04.2024 70

Project Syndicate

Mohamed A. El-Erian

The Indian Giant Has Arrived

CAMBRIDGE/MILAN – India’s recent economic success, solid momentum, and promising prospects are making the country ever more influential both...

22.03.2024 70

Project Syndicate

Mohamed A. El-Erian

Will the US Economy Drive Global Growth this Year?

CAMBRIDGE – What happens in the United States does not stay in the United States. The global economy depends on America to act as a main engine of...

26.02.2024 20

Project Syndicate

Mohamed A. El-Erian

Don’t Extrapolate Last Year’s Trends for the Global Economy

CAMBRIDGE – Behavioral economists have popularized the term “recency bias” to describe our tendency to be disproportionately influenced by the...

11.01.2024 30

Project Syndicate

Mohamed A. El-Erian

The Growing Risk of Global Disorder

CAMBRIDGE – The Western-led global economic order had a bad 2023. Surprisingly, the primary cause was not the emergence of an alternative order led...

14.12.2023 20

Project Syndicate

Mohamed A. El-Erian

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