Greens-Labor more likely as boomers’ power wanes
Demographic tectonic plates are moving beneath our feet and creating a new political landscape that our leaders don’t yet quite know how to navigate.
A decline in primary support for both the Labor and Liberal-National Coalition parties in the past three decades has a multitude of explanations, but one of them has major implications for the kind of governments that are likely to form over the next three.
The power of the majority-conservative boomer and interwar voting bloc is dying, quite literally, and being replaced on electoral rolls at-pace by younger migrants and gen Z voters. And they are voting very differently.
At the last election and in public polls since, these younger voters, and in particular those born since the late 1990s, are roughly as likely to vote for the Greens as the Liberal-National Coalition. It’s an undeniable left-right generational divide.
With millennials and gen Z on track to make up half the voting population by the end of this decade, and with concentrations of progressive voters in inner-city electorates, the likelihood of routine minority or Greens-Labor governments at both state and federal levels is increasing.
This will present as an existential challenge for all the “major” parties, Greens........
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