The Cuban Vote Saved Florida

Florida offered our families something the old country could no longer provide: a future.

Luis Gonzalez | November 6, 2026

The numbers tell a story of political conviction, demographic change, and a community that refused to follow the prevailing tide.

The 2026 FIU Cuba Poll surveyed Cuban-American adults in Miami-Dade County. Sixty-eight percent intended to vote Republican in their congressional districts. Seventy-seven percent supported maximum pressure on Cuba’s communist government. Those findings came despite widespread disapproval of the administration’s deportation policies affecting Cubans without criminal records.

Florida’s gubernatorial contest was decided by 107,695 votes. Byron Donalds received 50.02 percent; David Jolly, 48.71 percent, according to Florida Election Watch. The margin was narrow enough to make every constituency consequential.

The Cuban vote saved Florida.

Consider the political movement elsewhere in the electorate. The Associated Press Voter Poll surveyed more than 100,000 voters nationwide. Roughly six in ten Hispanic voters supported Democratic congressional candidates. Nine in ten Black voters did the same, a substantial increase over the share who supported Kamala Harris in 2024. Among Black men, Republican support fell from roughly one-quarter for Trump in 2024 to about one in ten in this year’s House races. Seven in ten voters under thirty supported Democrats, reversing the near-even division between Trump and Harris two years earlier.

These were national congressional voting patterns, not Florida gubernatorial totals. They nevertheless establish the broader movement: several constituencies that had shifted........

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