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10 reasons why Andy Burnham may call a 10 December election, writes Iain Dale

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26.10.2026

I think I am more or less alone in thinking that Andy Burnham may still call a general election this year.

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If he does, it will almost certainly be held on Thursday 10 December. “You’ve lost your marbles, Iain”, I can hear many of you thinking. I can’t, in all honesty, advise you to put money on it, but I think it’s more than a distinct possibility. Let me tell you why.

A good General leads his troops into battle when his opponents are at their weakest. That moment is now. Here are 10 reasons why I think Burnham should call an election for 10 December.

The latest ISPSOS/MORI poll shows Labour with an eight-point lead, the largest since Burnham became PM. This is more than enough to achieve a solid majority.

Reform UK have shed a third of their support over the last year. Soft Reform support is drifting back to the Conservatives, with many people feeling distinctly queasy about the various donation scandals. Only 1 in 5 British adults (19%) believe Reform UK is ready to form the next government, down from 22% last month and 29% last September. 62% currently disagree Reform UK are ready (up 2 points from last........

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