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How Turkish-Saudi corridor diplomacy could redefine the Middle East

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yesterday

For decades, discussions about the Middle East have been framed by a familiar phrase: “geography is destiny.” Often attributed to the 14th-century scholar Ibn Khaldun, the expression suggests that a nation’s location profoundly shapes its political fortunes, economic prospects and strategic behavior. In the Middle East, however, this phrase has frequently carried a pessimistic undertone. Geography has been viewed not as an asset, but as a burden – a source of endless rivalry, contested borders and geopolitical competition.

Yet a different interpretation is beginning to emerge. Geography, while immutable, does not predetermine perpetual conflict. The same strategic position that has fueled competition can also facilitate cooperation. The growing partnership between Turkiye and Saudi Arabia demonstrates that regional powers are increasingly seeking to transform geography from a source of instability into a foundation for connectivity and shared prosperity.

The recent memorandums of understanding signed by Ankara and Riyadh in the railway and logistics sectors represent more than routine economic agreements. They signal an ambitious attempt to reshape the political and economic landscape of the Middle East. At the heart of this initiative lies the vision of a transport corridor extending from the Gulf to Europe through the Levant, potentially connecting Saudi Arabia to Turkiye via Jordan and Syria, with future extensions reaching Oman and perhaps incorporating Iraq.

This emerging corridor reflects a broader transformation in regional diplomacy. It illustrates how infrastructure projects are increasingly becoming instruments of strategic statecraft. Rather than relying solely on traditional alliances, military deterrence or ideological competition, middle powers such as Turkiye and Saudi Arabia are investing in what may be described as “corridor diplomacy” – using connectivity projects to advance security, economic resilience and geopolitical influence.

Several factors explain why this partnership has gained momentum.

The first is the gradual political convergence between Ankara and........

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