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KINSELLA: Election outcomes swayed by 'The Hidden Conservative Voter'

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21.07.2019

They’re hidden.

They showed up, however, at Brexit. They showed up in the U.S. presidential race in 2016. They showed up in Alberta in 2019, and Ontario in 2018, too.

They’re the THCV — The Hidden Conservative Voter. And they’re changing politics.

June 2016: shocking just about everyone, 52% of Britons voted to leave the European Union. No one really expected that result, including many of those who campaigned for Brexit.

Polls conducted in the years leading up to the Brexit vote consistently showed public opinion split on the EU membership question. A year before the crucial vote, support for the European Union spiked upward, with many more Brits favouring remaining than leaving. That, perhaps, may have been what persuaded then-Prime Minister David Cameron to push for a vote.

This file photo taken on June 28, 2016 shows then British prime minister David Cameron at a press conference during a European Union summit at the EU headquarters in Brussels. (Philippe Huguen/AFP/Getty Images

It was a critical error, as historians will forever note.

Subsequent vote analysis showed that young........

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