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The Bernie Sanders surge

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29.01.2020

The old becomes the new. Less than a week out from the Iowa caucuses, Bernie Sanders, born two months before Pearl Harbor in September 1941, leads the RealClearPolitics average of recent polls by 4 points in Iowa, 8 points in New Hampshire, and 1 point in the biggest delegate prize, the Super Tuesday state California.

One hastens to add: The Sanders surge, like the Elizabeth Warren warming period from mid-September to mid-November and the Pete Buttigieg bump in December, may not last.

Old-timers may remember when Sanders’s fellow Vermonter Howard Dean, a fierce critic of the Iraq war, was leading the field going into Iowa and New Hampshire in 2004. Dean came out of those two contests far behind front-runners John Kerry and John Edwards.

That year, Democrats decided Kerry’s military record made him more electable against George W. Bush. This month, multiple polls suggest Democrats are moving away from electability and toward candidates expressing their own views. That’s especially true of young Democrats — they heavily support Sanders, who leads Joe Biden among people under age 35 by a 50-point margin in the latest Quinnipiac poll.

The Democratic Party has always been a coalition of........

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