Tamil Nadu, Keralam, Bengal signal a new political order. BJP’s road to 2029 starts now |
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Tamil Nadu, Keralam, Bengal signal a new political order. BJP’s road to 2029 starts now
BJP has to show exemplary performance in the states under its control, retain those that will go to polls next year, win new geographies, and aim for a stronger majority in 2029.
The results of the elections to four state assemblies — Assam, West Bengal, Keralam, and Tamil Nadu — and the UT of Puducherry have not thrown up many surprises. But they do clearly point toward a shifting political landscape.
There are three significant outcomes: the expansion of the BJP beyond its traditional geography, especially in West Bengal and Keralam; the disruption of regional party systems such as the DMK and AIADMK, both deeply entrenched in Dravidian ideology; and the continued decline of Congress, though it has not been as decimated as the Communists.
The repeat performance of the BJP in Assam and the hung assembly in Tamil Nadu were more or less predictable. The 108-seat win by Joseph Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) is a game-changer but raises serious questions about government formation and stability.
Together, the results suggest that if the BJP plays its cards right, the fallout could give it a larger advantage in 2029.
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Tamil Nadu is facing a Delhi moment — a hung assembly where no single party has the majority to form a government.
In 2013, the BJP emerged as the single-largest party with 31 seats in the 70-member Delhi assembly but refused to form a government, resulting in an AAP-Congress government that lasted just 49 days. In the 2015 election, the AAP bagged 67 seats and........