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Gaza – Surprising beginning and the foretold ending

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Another round in the ongoing drama of Gaza and Israel came to an end. It was shorter than the previous ones, but altogether resembling them all but with one exception. It was the first time since 2009 that Israel used a preemptive strike and it achieved the desired results of surprising the terrorists and their leaders. It led to the elimination of some terror chiefs, but then it all deteriorated into the usual ritual of a shooting match between the two sides which is ending again in a cease fire without any clear result. Even if Israel achieved a tactical victory by its success to use intelligence to penetrate into the highest echelons of Islamic Jihad, still the overall strategic equation between Israel and the terrorists did not change. It is the time to ask some fundamental questions about the situation with regard to Gaza and see if it is at all possible to bring about a structural change in the nature of this equation.

The important questions to be asked are not about Israeli politics, though the temptation to do it is so obvious ahead of another round of elections in Israel. It is about more important questions, and first and foremost it is about the fact that despite Israel’s vast military superiority, the outcomes of all the rounds, including the most recent one is indecisive. Here is an answer, maybe one that many of the readers will not like to read, but still one which is the crude reality. Israel cannot use in Gaza more than a small fraction of its military might, simply because if it used much more, the numbers of casualties in Gaza would be in the thousands. It is so simple to send a squadron of F-15 or F-16 for a carpet bombing of the areas from where the rockets are launched and then see the destruction and the mass death created. But is it really so simple?........

© The Times of Israel (Blogs)

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