The ceasefire announced this week between the United States and Iran is less a resolution than a pause.

Both sides have reasons to de-escalate, at least for now. But whether this holds will depend on progress on the two issues at the heart of the conflict: Iran’s nuclear program, specifically its enriched uranium stockpile, and the status of the Strait of Hormuz.

What “Victory” Requires

Let’s start with Iran’s nuclear program – one of the stated goals from the outset of the U.S. and Israeli actions against Iran. Any agreement that leaves the regime with a substantial stockpile of highly enriched uranium will be hard to defend as a win. For years, multiple U.S. presidents from both parties have worked to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. That goal will not be met as long as Tehran still has the material and capability (not to mention possible intent) to move quickly toward acquiring one.

Whether through removal, dilution, or strict international oversight, the uranium stockpile must be........

© The Times of Israel (Blogs)