Balancing Act

The most revealing aspect of President Vladimir Putin’s latest visit to Beijing was not the choreography of friendship, but the limits of it. China gave the Russian President precisely the optics he wanted: ceremonial warmth, strategic language and carefully staged symbolism projecting solidarity against American power. The timing mattered. Just days earlier, Beijing had hosted President Donald Trump in another high-profile summit. The sequencing was no accident. China wanted the world to see that while Washington and Moscow compete for influence, Beijing now sits at the centre of the geopolitical board. Yet beneath the public display of Sino-Russian unity lay a quieter reality.

Russia failed to secure a final agreement on the long-delayed Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline, a project Moscow desperately needs to offset the collapse of much of its European energy market after the Ukraine war. Beijing’s hesitation was telling. The imbalance in the relationship is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore. Russia may speak the language of partnership between equals, but China is negotiating from a position of growing leverage. Moscow needs Chinese markets, Chinese financing and Chinese........

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