From Dependence to Diversification: Europe’s Strategic Drift Toward China

In recent years, the growing unpredictability of American politics has begun to reshape Europe’s strategic calculations. From abrupt policy reversals and election driven foreign policy swings to fluctuating commitments toward NATO, trade, and global governance, Europe is increasingly confronting an uncomfortable reality: the United States is no longer a consistently reliable anchor for long term strategic planning.

For European governments, this uncertainty is not ideological, it is structural. Each U.S. election cycle now carries the possibility of dramatic shifts in trade policy, security commitments, climate cooperation, and industrial strategy. Tariffs can reappear overnight, alliances can be questioned........

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