Russia Won’t Win the Ukraine War Anytime Soon |
Despite claims by senior Russian officials, the Russian military does not have the ability to achieve an operational breakthrough on the battlefield in Ukraine.
Instead, the Russian forces are engaged in a drawn-out campaign to capture Ukrainian territory at a slow pace and terrible cost.
Although the Russian military is currently winning on the battlefield and maintains the strategic initiative, its poor offensive resources and lack of sufficient combined arms capabilities prevent an operational breakthrough that could force Ukraine to capitulate.
Instead, the Russian military is engaged in a protracted campaign of attrition that favors Ukraine.
“Russian forces will likely continue to struggle to maintain the Kremlin’s desired multi-pronged offensive operations in different operational directions due to the long-term materiel and manpower costs of such operations,” the Institute for the Study of War assessed in its latest estimate on the conflict in Ukraine.
In recent days, the Kremlin has been pushing for advances across the frontline, often exaggerating claims about the progress of the Russian forces. Currently, the Russian military is focusing on the Donbas and eastern and southeastern Ukraine, particularly in the direction of Vovchansk, Kupyansk,........