Kim’s Costly Gamble: Why North Korea’s Ukraine Deployment Could Backfire

North Korean leader Kim Jong-un is sending North Korean combat troops to Russia to attack Ukrainian forces. This is an extremely risky action on his part, suggesting that he is desperate. While these troops have years of North Korean military training, they have no modern combat experience and are getting little preparation from the Russians. If they are committed to mass assaults on Ukraine’s front line, that could be disastrous for the troops and a problem for Kim. 

Kim likely understands some of the risks he is running. But prompt action by South Korea, Ukraine, and the United States could amplify those risks and discourage Kim from continuing his combat troop commitments. A failure to act could jeopardize the cohesion of the Ukrainian front lines and could even lead to a strategic breakthrough for the Russian forces which could become a disaster for Ukraine.

If Kim perceives that his forces have succeeded, he may become emboldened to test his military forces against South Korea.

North Korea has reportedly deployed 12,000 combat troops to assist Russia in expelling Ukrainian forces from Russian territory in the Kursk region. This Ukrainian incursion into Russian territory has been a serious embarrassment for Russian President Vladimir Putin. While Russian forces have slowly pushed Ukraine’s forces back, Putin likely hopes that the addition of the North Korean forces will defeat Ukraine's offensive and perhaps even lead to a breakthrough in Ukraine's defensive line. 

Interestingly, the Russians have dressed the North Korean forces in Russian uniforms and given them fake Russian identifications, suggesting that Putin wants it to appear that Russian forces, not North Korean forces, are solving this Ukrainian invasion problem.

The fact that Ukraine was able to make a significant incursion into Russia with its much smaller military could eventually lead other........

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