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Dyer: Hong Kong chaos has Taiwan's Tsai poised to win Saturday election

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“Over the past few years, China’s diplomatic offensives, military coercion, interference and infiltration have continued unabated,” said Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen on New Year’s Day, as the Jan. 11 election neared. “China’s objective is clear: to force Taiwan to compromise our sovereignty.” But every leader of her Democratic People’s Party (DPP) has always said that.

“Moreover, at the beginning of last year, China’s President Xi Jinping proposed the one country, two systems model for Taiwan,” Tsai continued, as though it were some new horror. But every leader of Communist China since Deng Xiao-ping has promoted the one-country, two-system model. What’s new here?

What’s new is that a year ago, Tsai Ing-wen was seen universally as doomed to lose this election, but now she’s expected to win hands down — and the reason is Hong Kong, the territory for which the one-country, two-systems formula was originally invented, has been engulfed by chaotic and increasingly violent protests against Beijing for the last seven months.

The protests are driven by most Hong Kongers’ belief that Beijing is cheating on that sacred formula. When Britain returned its Hong Kong colony to........

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