A border poll is more likely than not in the next decade or so.

In the run-up, we’ll see a series of discussions and decisions on the precise terms and conditions which would determine its calling; as well as a broadening of the campaigning by civic groups like Ireland’s Future and a greater input from the next Irish government (particularly if Leo Varadkar, as I think he will, becomes the lead figure in a new lobby for unity).

Unionism – in its political, electoral and cultural manifestations – is likely to insist that the terms and conditions for a border poll won’t be met for at least 50 years.

But the very fact that some senior figures are now admitting that the conditions are likely to be met at all within the lifetimes of the generation which had its first vote in July 4’s general election is actually incredibly significant.

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And certainly, significant enough to persuade the emerging........

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