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Democrats — Buckle up for a wild ride

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For a year, everyone has been repeating a familiar refrain: “It’s too early” to know how the contest for the Democratic nomination will shape up, let alone shake out.

Well, Democrats start voting in three weeks, so it’s a little late to say it’s early, but this race appears tight as a tick, and lots can still happen.

For example, keep in mind that what occurs in the earlier contests will profoundly influence the polls, and the results, in later states.

History is quite clear about this.

In 1976, Jimmy Carter Jimmy CarterTrump and Obama equally admired? Eight things popularity polls tell us Biden is the Democrats' 'only hope' to defeat Trump Chris Matthews: Soleimani death comparable in Iran to Elvis Presley, Princess Diana MORE garnered just 4 percent of the Democratic primary vote in national polls before placing in Iowa and winning New Hampshire.

Within three days of his Granite State victory, he jumped 12 points to 16 percent in the national polls.

In 1980, George H.W. Bush defeated Ronald Reagan by 2 points in Iowa and saw his national poll standing more than double from 14 percent to 32 percent. (Of course, Reagan went on to win a massive New Hampshire victory and secure the nomination.)

John Kerry John Forbes KerrySanders hits highest support since August Veteran political journalist: Biden needs 'firm answer' on Iraq War record Hill.TV's Saagar Enjeti warns Biden's Iraq record could be general........

© The Hill