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Kamala Chameleon vs. the Trump Circus: Where the polls stand  

7 0
29.08.2024

An unprecedented presidential meltdown, an attempted assassination, the elevation of a much-mocked vice president. Throw in regular Trump tantrums and Kamala Harris abandoning her past progressive-liberal policy positions with unabashed alacrity and it’s really been quite a summer.

But with both party conventions in the rearview mirror and the departure of the bizzarro Robert F. Kennedy Jr., it is now possible to get a sense of where the presidential nominees stand heading into the post-Labor Day homestretch.

The main story is how Harris rescued the Democrats. Even before his disastrous debate, President Biden was headed for defeat — and possibly a rout. He may have trailed Donald Trump by only 1.5 percent in the RealClearPolitics Average, but he was well behind in Arizona, Georgia and Nevada and was consistently trailing in Pennsylvania. States like New Hampshire, Virginia and Minnesota were in play.

Harris changed all that. She now leads Trump in the RCP average by just under 2 points, improving on Biden by 3.2 percentage points. More importantly, Harris has erased Trump’s leads in the battleground states.

Harris and Trump are within 2 points of each other in all the swing states, including North Carolina — which looked like a definite Trump win in June. Any Trump hopes of surprises deeper into the map have mostly vanished. Interestingly, the ex-president hasn’t moved an inch: He was at 46.6 percent on June 26 and stands at 46.6 percent on Aug. 25.

The race has gone from a Trump win to a toss-up, with Harris having the momentum.

Harris defies bad issue environment

Harris should not be in the lead. In fact, the Democrats should be headed for a disastrous defeat.

In the most recent YouGov poll, the Biden administration had net negative approval on every issue, from crime to........

© The Hill


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